Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 181.430582 209.909610 242.454891 282.627432 331.193491 388.403659 461.479424
2025-08-31 141.599634 177.007916 221.546173 282.530027 365.198612 475.348133 636.657281
2025-09-07 120.816439 159.176667 210.729056 286.725779 398.802678 562.863869 830.793003
2025-09-14 101.996177 139.581660 192.595765 275.182535 405.103025 609.919108 975.513039
2025-09-21 90.958593 128.683442 184.216791 275.133477 426.897341 683.427666 1182.560229
2025-09-28 82.818229 120.637354 178.456251 277.443410 451.917403 766.769670 1432.565722
2025-10-05 79.363763 119.081201 182.198704 295.397596 506.749548 916.137072 1866.103404
2025-10-12 75.855238 116.878897 184.391796 310.746861 559.702622 1075.688129 2387.851535
2025-10-19 70.001734 110.100231 177.914083 309.179234 579.221648 1170.800540 2795.907216
2025-10-26 66.537581 106.914520 177.175759 318.117693 621.843491 1328.855042 3447.448537
2025-11-02 62.768232 102.768537 174.149443 321.971468 654.202422 1472.146059 4134.125580
2025-11-09 59.153844 98.514342 170.385833 323.659074 681.941452 1612.307430 4894.657621
2025-11-16 54.898155 93.083001 164.526011 321.751918 705.276238 1761.601422 5846.630334
2025-11-23 51.238129 88.443211 159.769667 321.811455 734.748056 1944.350716 7109.636161
2025-11-30 48.486897 85.211714 157.373716 326.732873 778.343346 2190.415918 8912.577731
2025-12-07 44.333082 78.849449 147.799134 313.211741 768.189774 2256.876136 9918.860783
2025-12-14 41.808732 75.457607 144.051328 313.154321 796.736322 2473.390156 12034.941231
2025-12-21 39.757573 72.813268 141.582395 315.858511 834.519279 2745.059854 14920.247722
2025-12-28 39.251449 73.264764 145.929801 336.903301 936.456991 3336.154347 21267.049752
2026-01-04 38.498321 73.116857 148.901623 354.930479 1035.287326 3987.064318 29946.519341
2026-01-11 36.504202 70.133693 144.962598 353.087886 1064.530004 4330.091253 36685.354148
2026-01-18 35.413571 69.012258 145.295748 363.598578 1143.159723 4991.424436 49782.380903
2026-01-25 34.054265 67.175488 143.690167 368.133479 1201.005350 5590.279363 65076.475636